mortagesandforeclosures

by Ahmad Hassam

You as a forex trader can either use fundamental analysis or technical analysis in studying the forex markets and making predictions about the future. The savvier among you will try to combine both in making predictions about the future direction a particular currency is going to follow.

Fundamental analysis depends on the study of underlying economic factors that affect currency markets. Technical analysis is based on the premise that past price action can be used to make predictions about the future price action in forex markets.

There is something known as, The January Effect. Many stock traders must be familiar with this term. This effect is based on a simple observation that during the last day of December and the fifth trading day in January stock prices tend to rally.

The explanation why this effect takes place is quite simple. At the end of the year, many investors try to realize capital gains or losses to file their tax returns. Many corporations also try to adjust their balance sheets favorably at the end of the year.

The interesting fact is that seasonality is not peculiar to the stock markets. Forex markets also tend to show seasonal effects. Seasonality is defined as a pattern that occurs at a particular time of the year.

The January Effect also takes place in forex markets because most of the investors who are liquidating their stock positions try to convert their local currencies into dollars at that time.

However, dollar shows stronger January Effect in some currency pairs as compared to others. There is a summer effect also. It has also been observed that dollar shows a summer seasonality when it tends to rise in USD/JPY pair and USD/CAD pair in the month of July and give back its gains by August.

There are many seasonal patterns in currency pairs that have been studied in other parts of the year. Now, it does not mean that you should take these effects blindly and trade based on them.

Seasonality in currency pairs only means that there is a strong probability that during a particular time of the year, the chances of a particular currency pair going up or down are high.

In some years, the effect may be pronounced. In others, not so pronounces. As a forex trader, you should keep these seasonal effects at the back of your minds while trading during that time of the years. You need to just understand these seasonal patterns.

About the Author:

Mr. Ahmad Hassam has done Masters from Harvard University. He is interested in day trading; stocks and forex. Know These Forex Broker Tricks. Learn Currency Trading!

Get all the information and photos:: http://mortgagewide.info/how-seasonal-patterns-effect-forex-markets/