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China accounted for two apple-speed into a smart mobile phone market

Fernando Filipe

by Zou himfr

Some analysts said that Apple will shortly be used by 20% of the Chinese smartphone market. The scribe of this odd conjecture surprised. Apple iPhone does have a powerful mesh market in China, even though the market has not directed to the introduction of aligned trades on the much well liked iPhone rumors were even beside 40% of the aligned flow of goods into the Chinese market, Chinese users can glimpse the love for the iPhone there is little, and I use the iPhone there are some round the water type of Friends.

However, not to declare that Apple has not yet and countrywide introduction of portable operators to arrive at accord, both China Mobile or China Unicom and Apple still have dialogues to arrive at an accord still could be between the two. Even if accurate and in the household crunchy yield portable operator to arrive at an accord, to formally move into the Chinese market, it can be promptly inhabited by 20% of the brainy portable handset market? I still can not accept with this. First of all, we can envisage is that the program is the introduction of iPhone's in the household portable operators will purpose on what? IPhone 3G is still iPhone1.0 version? If the first, then the iPhone is now the market is not bewitching at the commencing was just registered, there have been at iPhoto 3G variety, iPhone1.0 so admired these days have the number of market opportunities? Estimated that not more than, after all, now has 3G portable handset aspects of other more strong companies.

If it is not iPhone1.0, but the iPhone 3G version, and even the upcoming Apple iPhone 3.0, then the domestic users of smart mobile applications, where the mainstream? Is 2G or 3G or 2.5G? Obviously not the former, after all, home is just the launch of 3G licenses, and more at the user or stay on the existing network infrastructure, 3G leap is not so easy and direct. Apple iPhone then occupied 20% market share in smart mobile phone is not talking? Want to know more or smart mobile phone users at the time of non-3G. Furthermore, even if true the development of 3G mobile phone fast, the layout of operator also really quickly.

Let us assume that, if iPhone is the introduction of mobile access to opportunity, then the iPhone version of the introduction of TD will be many a long time? TD to move in the development planning of the layout and user expectations of how much? Millions or tens of millions? It is reported that China Mobile said that for three years at the development of TD users to 50 million users. But this year is no more than several million. The scope of such a small, iPhone will account for 20% of China's smartphone share it? Even if TD-take-all of the smart mobile phone market, nor to the two Chinese mobile phone into a smart share, right?

If it is China Unicom, the introduction of the possibility to get iPhone, China Unicom is the number of portable handset users? Just over 100 million, China Mobile has more than 500 million portable handset users, even users of China Unicom, iPhone will only be employed only 20% market share. Of course, the share of the brainy portable handset is in addition a divergence of less than registered, it is clear the two iPhone into share of Chinese portable handset is brainy rhetoric. Or, iPhone in China like to inhabit two out of 100 of the brainy portable handset market is wishful considering, but in addition on the crunchy yield of America analyst to endorse a market it.

As we all know, both the domestic mobile operator, or Apple, the iPhone to enter the Chinese market has a lot of looking forward to. Apple iPhone can hope to gain more market share, but also hope to be able to get more global cell phone market share. Well, a huge market for Chinese user base and growing market potential has become the apple can not ignore the existence of a strong. However, and because Chinese mobile operators to negotiate between the big apple lions mouth, do not buy the first move. China Unicom and Apple want to be able to reach an agreement, but China Unicom at the impact of the domestic market and China Mobile is obviously not comparable to Apple's best move or the object. Thus the formation of a tripartite power struggles, a love triangle among a vicious circle.

In this context, Apple wants to conceive more impetus on the iPhone, encompassing designs to insert the apple crop iPhone3.0. We can glimpse that the investigation of Bank of America analysts furthermore move for Apple and the affirmation come to between the possible. In other phrases, the end of this monster in the introduction of wireless iPhone. Analysts speculated the United States from the "supply string of connections in Asia review displayed that self-assurance apple crop be adept to live at 20% of Chinese wireless telephone market intelligence. According to our review accept as factual that the apple crop be adept to effortlessly come to and even exceed this aim, and that the iPhone sales may be much higher. "

It is clear that there are a lot of wishful thinking. Analysts expected the United States, if the apple in the beginning of this year to 500-600 U.S. dollars at the prices of Chinese sales of iPhone, this year's iPhone sales in China will reach 1.5 million in 2010 to reach 4.6 million, in 2011 will reach 5.8 million Department. First of all, to see the iPhone out 5,6 if the price of 100 U.S. dollars, do not know if users will not accept? The number of operators will be subsidized? Operator is able to bear? Secondly, if in accordance with its analysis of this year reached 1.5 million sales, then by 20%, the Chinese market in 2009 the sales of smart phones many at some 10,000.

According to iSuppli's analysis, even though the global cell phone shipments are expected to decline 5%, but China's domestic mobile phone market will maintain growth in 2009 is expected to rise 7%. iSuppli forecasts in 2009 in the domestic mobile phone market will reach 240 million. We can see that even low-end market, have played a variety of smart phones, including the Chinese market is more popular cottage machine is smart, cheap as a selling point. Therefore, even if Apple's iPhone into the Chinese market, as the two want to quickly occupied the market share of smart phones is even more difficult, unless the operators to launch a variety of means of promotion, and continue to prices under pressure, but if this true, iPhone is also of high quality will be bankrupt. In addition, after Apple launched iPhone3.0 definitely a new version of the main push, but the new version is not be able to quickly cut into the Chinese market is very difficult to say, if true apple China can occupy two percent of smartphone market, mobile operators estimated the price to be paid on the money.

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